Thursday, April 28, 2011

Relegation Battles - Italy

As Sunday signals the arrival of May and the last month of club football in most European leagues, lets focus in on the relegation battles raging all over the place. I am putting up one post for each country. This post is about Italy.

First up the Serie A.

In the Serie A the bottom three sides are relegated to the Serie B.
Teams involved in the relegation battle (I am using any team that is not mathematically safe)
Bold indicates a Six Point match against a fellow relegation candidate.
Italics indicate a local derby.

Bari are already relegated to Serie B.

Fiorentina 46, 4: Udinese, @Inter, Bologna, @Brescia
Genoa 45, -1: @Napoli, Sampdoria, @Lazio, Cesena
Cagliari 44, 0: @Catania, Cesena, @Milan, Parma
Bologna 40p, -12: @Milan, Parma, @Fiorentina, Bari
Chievo Verona 39p, -3: Lecce, @Juventus, Udinese, @Palermo
Parma 38p, -11: Palermo, @Bologna, Juventus, @Cagliari
Cesena 37p, -13: Inter, @Cagliari, Brescia, @Genoa
Catania 37p, -14: Cagliari, @Brescia, Roma, @Inter
Sampdoria 35p, -12: Brescia, @Genoa, Palermo, @Roma
Lecce 35p, -20: @Chievo, Napoli, @Bari, @Lazio
Brescia 30p, -16: @Sampdoria, Catania, @Cesena, Fiorentina

Brescia have an excellent opportunity to climb out the bottom with all of their six pointers. Of Course the biggest one is next against Sampdoria. I think that Brescia will just edge Sampdoria and that away win will give them the confidence to find the points and escape the drop. I think that Lecce will join Bari in Serie B next season. Also making the drop out of the top flight I have Ottawa's Sister City club Catania.

Serie B.

In the Serie B the bottom three sides are relegated to the Lega Pro Prima Divisione. The 18th & 19th place sides play a playoff to determine who is the fourth team relegated. Note the playoff doesn't occur if the 18th place team is 5 or more points above the 19th place team.
Teams involved in the relegation battle (I am using any team that is not mathematically safe)
Bold indicates a Six Point match against a fellow relegation candidate.

Reggina 53p, +4: @Albinoleffe, Varese, @Grosseto, Ascoli, @Sassuolo
Torino 52p, +1: Piacenza, @Siena, Triestina, @Empoli, Padova
Padova 49p, +9: @Varese, Ascoli, @Sassuolo, Livorno, @Torino
Empoli 49p, +5: @Sassuolo, Albinoleffe, @Portosummaga, Torino, @Vicenza
US Pescara 49p, -2: @Portosummaga, Livorno, @Vicenza, Novara, @Cittadella
Vicenza 49p, -6: Crotone, @Frosinone, US Pescara, @Triestina, Empoli
Livorno 47p, 0: Atalanta, @US Pescara, Piacenza, @Padova, Frosinone
Crotone 47p, -3: @Vicenza, Novara, @Cittadella, Grosseto, @Portosummaga
Modena 47p, -5: @Cittadella, Grosseto, @Varese, Portosummaga, @Novara
Grosseto 45p, -8: Triestina, @Modena, Reggina, @Crotone, Atalanta
Cittadella 43p, -5: Modena, @Triestina, Crotone, @Atalanta, US Pescara
Albinoleffe 43p, -9: Reggina, @Empoli, Atalanta, @Piacenza, Siena
Sassuolo 42p, -5: Empoli, @Piacenza, Padova, @Frosinone, Reggina
Piacenza 42p, -10: @Torino, Sassuolo, @Livorno, Albinoleffe, @Varese
Ascoli 40p, -8: Frosinone, @Padova, Siena, @Reggina, Triestina
Portosummaga 40p, -16: US Pescara, @Atalanta, Empoli, @Modena, Crotone
Triestina 37p, -16: @Grosseto, Cittadella, @Torino, Vicenza, @Ascoli
Frosinone 35p, -17: @Ascoli, Vicenza, @Novara, Sassuolo, @Livorno

With so many games left & teams involved anything could happen here. That said I am clearly wading into the unknown, but armed with the information available, here are my four teams that make the drop: Portosummaga, Triestina, Frosinone, & Albinoleffe

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